Game Result Predictions
Friday, March 23
Friday, March 23
The Resid and Elo Predictions calculates each team's final score, margin of victory (spread), and probability of winning the game.
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Fordham (35-19-1) | 4 | 4 | +1.0 | 46% | ✔ | 3 | +0.5 | 46% | ✔ | |
| Davidson (33-21) | 5 | 5 | -1.0 | 54% | 4 | -0.5 | 54% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| La Salle (14-41) | 6 | 3 | +6.0 | 30% | ✔ | 2 | +8.0 | 13% | ✔ | |
| George Washington (32-26) | 11 | 9 | -6.0 | 70% | 10 | -8.0 | 87% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| UMass (15-29) | 5 | 3 | +4.0 | 36% | ✔ | 1 | +6.5 | 17% | ✔ | |
| Richmond (32-24) | 17 | 7 | -4.0 | 64% | 8 | -6.5 | 83% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Saint Louis (38-20) | 4 | 6 | -3.0 | 61% | ✔ | 6 | -4.5 | 76% | ✔ | |
| Saint Joseph's (21-27) | 1 | 3 | +3.0 | 39% | 1 | +4.5 | 24% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Dayton (21-31) | 6 | 5 | +2.0 | 42% | ✘ | 5 | +0.5 | 50% | ✘ | |
| South Carolina Upstate (23-28-1) | 5 | 7 | -2.0 | 58% | 6 | -0.5 | 50% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Rhode Island (24-27) | 2 | 3 | +2.0 | 42% | ✔ | 3 | +0.5 | 51% | ✔ | |
| VCU (34-23) | 5 | 5 | -2.0 | 58% | 4 | -0.5 | 49% | |||
Friday, March 23 Results
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 83%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 83%
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 83%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 83%
Overall Results (851 games)
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 71%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 68%
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 71%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 68%
The goal for the Game Result Predictions is to determine winners at a rate greater than 70%.